6

6

will not be much change
建议重修英语

好耶！

吼

合

αεββ！！！

嗯?
我们英文不好。

建议用中文
你好我好大家好（

囍

WTPQ01 A388 200000
/FINAL WARNING/
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DUJUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
A388 SHANGHAI CHINA 2101 (WP012021)
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DUJUAN IS LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 131.3E AT 20/0000Z, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT A SPEED OF 9 KT. VIS AND INFRARED IMAGES SHOW THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT (55 KM/H) IS BASED ON AN ASCAT 19/1259Z PASS AND HIMAWARI-8 ATMOSPHERIC MOTION VECTORS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 999 HPA. THE 34 KT WIND RADIUS IS 0 NM. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS AROUND 28-29 DEGREES CELCIUS, BUT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE SYSTEM IS AROUND 30 KT, SHOWING THE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPING IS POOR.
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE WILL MAINTAIN AROUND 28-29 DEGREES CELCIUS BEFORE LANDFALL, AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN AROUND 20-30 KT, SHOWING THE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPING WILL NOT CHANGE A LOT, SO GFS AND HWRF MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING BEFORE LANDFALL. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT DUJUAN WILL APPROXIMATELY CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BEFORE TAU 48, AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MINDANAO OR LEYTE ISLAND BETWEEN TAU 24 AND TAU 36. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL WARNING FOR DUJUAN UNLESS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN.
FORECAST P+12HR 20/1200Z 7.5N 129.8E
MAX WIND 25 KT...45 KM/H.
FORECAST P+24HR 21/0000Z 9.0N 126.6E
MAX WIND 25 KT...45 KM/H.
FORECAST P+36HR 21/1200Z 10.1N 124.0E
MAX WIND 20 KT...35 KM/H.
FORECAST P+48HR 22/0000Z 9.1N 121.4E
MAX WIND 20 KT...35 KM/H.
* THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST AND SHOULD NOT BE USED AS SUCH.
* FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
REGIONAL SPECIALIZED METEOROLOGICAL CENTER.
$$
FORECASTER A388

WTPQ01 A388 200000 COR
/CORRECT/
TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
A388 SHANGHAI CHINA 2101 (WP012021)
TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN IS LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 131.3E AT 20/0000Z, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT A SPEED OF 9 KT. VIS AND INFRARED IMAGES SHOW THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT (65 KM/H) IS BASED ON AN ASCAT 20/0021Z PASS AND HIMAWARI-8 ATMOSPHERIC MOTION VECTORS, THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 999 HPA. THE ASCAT IMAGE MENTIONED ABOVE SHOWS THERE IS A POSSIBLE SUB-CENTER NEAR 9N 129E IN THE DEEP CONVECTION WITH 40-50 KT WIND NEARBY. THE 34 KT WIND RADIUS IS 300 NM IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANTS AND 0 NM IN OTHER QUADRANTS. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS AROUND 28-29 DEGREES CELCIUS, BUT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE SYSTEM IS AROUND 30 KT, SHOWING THE ENVIRONMENT IS UNFAVORABLE.
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE WILL MAINTAIN AROUND 28-29 DEGREES CELCIUS BEFORE LANDFALL, AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN AROUND 20-30 KT, SHOWING THE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPING WILL NOT CHANGE A LOT, SO GFS AND HWRF MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING BEFORE LANDFALL. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT DUJUAN WILL APPROXIMATELY CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BEFORE TAU 48, AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MINDANAO OR LEYTE ISLAND BETWEEN TAU 24 AND TAU 36.
FORECAST P+12HR 20/1200Z 8.4N 129.8E
MAX WIND 35 KT...65 KM/H.
FORECAST P+24HR 21/0000Z 9.6N 126.6E
MAX WIND 30 KT...55 KM/H.
FORECAST P+36HR 21/1200Z 10.1N 124.0E
MAX WIND 25 KT...45 KM/H.
FORECAST P+48HR 22/0000Z 9.1N 121.4E
MAX WIND 20 KT...35 KM/H.
* THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST AND SHOULD NOT BE USED AS SUCH.
* FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
REGIONAL SPECIALIZED METEOROLOGICAL CENTER.
$$
FORECASTER A388

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