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回复:【讨论热带云团及数值预报】2024年7月

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Cma将91w生为td了。


IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端1541楼2024-07-19 15:19
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    对比七月刚开始的海温,菲东暖水东延和南北扩明显,但南海热力条件不如以前了


    IP属地:江苏来自iPhone客户端1542楼2024-07-19 15:27
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      为两只即将成台的小可爱存一下图



      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1545楼2024-07-19 16:05
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        度娘饿了?


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1546楼2024-07-19 16:07
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          盘古



          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1548楼2024-07-19 18:15
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            按照gfs预报,8月上旬开启下一波台风活跃


            IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端1549楼2024-07-19 19:11
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              IMD
              BAY OF BENGAL:
              THE DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF ODISHA AND ADJOINING NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS MOVED NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 7 KMPH DURING PAST 3 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0600 UTC OF TODAY, THE 19TH JULY, 2024 OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 19.3ON AND LONGITUDE 86.1OE, ABOUT 60 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PURI (ODISHA, 43053), 130 KM EAST OF GOPALPUR (ODISHA, 43049), 130 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PARADIP (ODISHA, 42976) AND 230 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KALINGAPATNAM (ANDHRA PRADESH, 43105). IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS ODISHA COAST NEAR PURI AS A DEPRESSION AROUND 0000 UTC OF TOMORROW, THE 20TH JULY, 2024. THEREAFTER, IT WOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS ACROSS ODISHA & CHHATTISGARH AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS. AS PER INSAT-3D IMAGERY, THE CONVECTION HAS FURTHER ORGANISED.
              INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T1.5/C.I.1.5. ASSOCIATED SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND ODISHA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -900C. AS PER OBSERVATIONS AT 0600 UTC, ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 HPA AND THE PRESSURE DROP AT CENTRE IS 4 HPA. AT 0600 UTC, LOWEST MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 992.4 HPA IS OBSERVED AT PURI (43053). AND PRESSURE CHANGE DURING PAST 24 HOURS AT PURI IS -4.6 HPA. THE PRESSURE CHANGE ANALYSIS IS INDICATING THE SYSTEM TO MOVE ACROSS ODISHA AND CHHATTISGARH.


              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1550楼2024-07-19 19:43
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                超远洋178E附近有个系统,辐合20,辐散30




                IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端1551楼2024-07-19 19:51
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                  IMD:BOB02



                  IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1552楼2024-07-19 20:16
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                    GFS 384h,仅供娱乐,切勿参考


                    IP属地:福建1553楼2024-07-19 20:28
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                      如同β一般白净,可远观而不可亵玩


                      IP属地:广东1554楼2024-07-19 23:54
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                        这一报有点极端了



                        IP属地:上海来自Android客户端1555楼2024-07-20 00:24
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                          BOB 02 990.5


                          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1556楼2024-07-20 00:36
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                            IP属地:广东1557楼2024-07-20 02:01
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                              东太系集密集,但基本没啥蓝线


                              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1558楼2024-07-20 07:11
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